Device Problem RMD Conditions Hub Market Stage Deck Contact
Remote Medication Delivery
SmartShot

The medication exists.
The emergency exists.
The gap is the four minutes
between them.

A design thesis for the device that closes the loop.

Pre-prototype · Concept IP · This is the thesis.

DOSE Subcutaneous plane 01 · Sensor Band SpO2 · RR · ECG 02 · Micro-Reservoir Insulated · phase-change 03 · Cartridge Swap · 30–90 days 04 · Injection Port Subcutaneous micro-needle Decision engine On-device · 99.9% spec. target
The Device

One body. Sense, decide, deliver.

The wearable is a single insulated housing worn against the skin. The band senses. The reservoir holds the dose at temperature. The cartridge swaps. The port delivers. Every part exists in shipping medical hardware today — no one has shipped them as one closed loop.

Band
PPG, accelerometer, single-lead ECG. Continuous SpO2 and respiratory rate.
Reservoir
Phase-change insulation holds 20–25°C through thermal cycling and sweat.
Cartridge
Naloxone first. Razor-and-blade swap on a 30–90 day cycle.
Port
Motor-driven subcutaneous micro-needle. Single confirmed dose.
The Problem

RPM watches people die in high resolution.

Remote Patient Monitoring is a $16 billion industry. It measures heart rate, SpO2, respiratory rate, skin temperature. It transmits that data to a dashboard. And when a patient is dying, the intervention is a phone call.

Monitoring without intervention is observation, not care.

01
54,045
Opioid deaths in 2024
Devon uses fentanyl alone. His respiratory rate drops below 6. His SpO2 falls below 85%. Naloxone sits in the kitchen drawer. He is unconscious on the bathroom floor. 39-83% of fatal overdoses occur when the person is alone.
02
14 min
Symptom to cardiac arrest
A 15-year-old eats a granola bar with tree nuts. Her EpiPen is locked in the nurse's office per district policy. In 37% of pediatric deaths, the injector was not with the patient. The failure is not the drug. It is the distance.
03
11.5 min
Rural EMS median response
A 62-year-old in eastern Kentucky feels chest pressure at 2 a.m. The nearest ER is 38 miles away. Survival decreases 5-12% for every minute of delay. 350,000 out-of-hospital cardiac arrests per year. ~315,000 die.
The Category

From RPM to RMD.

Healthcare technology follows a consistent pattern: observe, then intervene. Diagnostic imaging preceded surgical robotics. CGM preceded automated insulin delivery. Remote telemetry preceded the implantable defibrillator. The monitoring technology matures first. Then intervention follows.

RPM is the observation layer. It is mature, reimbursed, and growing at 12.6% annually. The intervention layer has no commercial product.

Remote Medication Delivery is the term for that layer. The term is original to SmartShot. RMD describes any system that combines continuous biosensing, algorithmic detection, and autonomous medication delivery in a wearable form factor.

RPM
Detects + Reports
RMD
Detects + Delivers

Where RPM observes, RMD intervenes. SmartShot is a design thesis for the device that closes the loop.

Initial Scope

Four conditions. Four medications.

Each target pairs a life-threatening emergency with a proven drug, a detectable biosignal, and a clear regulatory analogue.

Opioid Overdose
Mature
Naloxone
Signal: SpO2 < 85%, RR < 6 bpm
54,045 deaths in 2024. OTC drug, well-understood pharmacology. Detection via respiratory depression is the most validated biosignal path. The beachhead.
Anaphylaxis
In Dev
Epinephrine
Signal: HR spike + BP drop + skin conductance
14 minutes from symptom to cardiac arrest. In 3/4 of pediatric deaths, epinephrine was either not given or given too late. Multi-signal detection requires algorithm fusion.
Cardiac Event
Breakthrough
Nitroglycerin
Signal: ST-segment changes, hemodynamic collapse
350,000 OHCA events/year. Zoll LifeVest proves autonomous cardiac intervention is viable, but only for electrical therapy. Autonomous pharmaceutical cardiac delivery does not exist.
Diabetic Crisis
In Dev
Glucagon
Signal: CGM glucose < 54 mg/dL
Closed-loop insulin delivery is solved. Closed-loop glucagon for severe hypoglycemia is not. The sensor infrastructure exists. The rescue delivery does not.
Human in the Loop

The Control Hub.

SmartShot is not a fully autonomous device. A 24/7 staffed medical command center provides human oversight for every injection decision. Licensed paramedics and nurses monitor incoming alerts and make the final call when device confidence falls below the autonomous threshold.

This creates a four-tier response model. The tiers are the product.

11:40:00 · SmartShot on-arm
Monitoring
SpO2
99%
Resp. Rate
14 bpm
Patient
Stable
Device Confidence
0.00%
Awaiting signal
Tier 1 · Autonomous
Inject
Confidence >99.9%
0s
Apnea >60s with falling SpO2. Device injects immediately. No human delay.
Tier 2 · Confirmed
Confirm
95 – 99.9%
15–30s
Hub reviews streaming vitals, confirms injection. Operator can override.
Tier 3 · Escalated
Assess
80 – 95%
1–3 min
Hub contacts patient. Decides whether to inject or dispatch EMS.
Tier 4 · Monitoring
Log
<80%
Async
Anomaly logged. Patient not disturbed. Reviewed in batch.
The naloxone was in the kitchen drawer for two years. It was on his arm for nine days.

This makes SmartShot a telemedicine-supervised system, not an autonomous injector. That distinction is the FDA pathway.

What this looks like

Devon uses fentanyl alone at 11:40 PM. At 11:41, his respiratory rate drops below 6. SpO2 hits 83%. The device registers both signals. Confidence: 99.94%. Tier 1 fires. Naloxone delivers subcutaneously at 11:41:03. Hub is notified. EMS dispatched automatically. Devon's SpO2 begins recovering at 11:42. He wakes disoriented at 11:44. Hub operator confirms vitals trending normal at 11:45. Total elapsed time from detection to delivery: three seconds. The naloxone was in the kitchen drawer for two years. It was on his arm for nine days.

Competitive Whitespace

Who else is working on this.

No commercial product exists that integrates emergency detection with autonomous medication delivery. Detection is FDA-cleared. Delivery is proven at scale. No one has connected them in a product that shipped.

Masimo Opioid Halo
FDA-cleared (De Novo, 2023). Wrist-worn, detects respiratory depression via SpO2. Sends alerts. Does not deliver medication. Proves detection works. Proves the gap.
Shipping
Rescue Biomedical
Purdue spinout. Subcutaneous implant + wrist sensor. Heats a capsule to release naloxone within 10 seconds. $2.82M NIH Fast-Track SBIR (2022). Pre-clinical. Single drug.
Pre-Clinical
Naloximeter (WashU / Northwestern)
Implantable device, ~3/4 pacemaker size. Senses tissue O2, releases naloxone. Published Science Advances Oct 2024. Tested in animals only. Single drug.
Animal Study
UW Medicine Wearable Injector
Abdominal wearable using West Pharma SmartDose platform. Accelerometer detects apnea, auto-injects naloxone. Proof-of-concept 2021. No commercialization. Single drug.
Proof of Concept
Project Abbie (Harvard / Wyss)
Wearable armband for anaphylaxis. Detects histamine, skin response, cardiac rhythm. Auto-injects epinephrine. Research stage. Single drug.
Research

The closest precedent: Closed-loop insulin delivery. Medtronic 780G, Omnipod 5, Tandem Control-IQ. Millions of patients. FDA-cleared. Sense-decide-deliver in a wearable, running autonomously, at scale. The architecture is proven for maintenance dosing. No one has carried it into emergency medication.

Who could enter: Medtronic has the closest device engineering capabilities. Abbott has the biosensor infrastructure. Masimo has the detection layer already cleared. None have announced RMD programs. The window exists because the category hasn't been named.

Beyond the Initial Four

Where the platform extends.

Once the sense-decide-deliver architecture validates on opioid overdose, the same hardware accepts new drug cartridges and new detection algorithms. The platform extends without new device engineering.

Seizure Rescue
Midazolam
EEG-band wearable detects ictal onset. 3.4M Americans with active epilepsy. Rescue dosing is time-critical and often administered by bystanders who hesitate.
Adrenal Crisis
Hydrocortisone
Cortisol drop + hemodynamic crash in adrenal insufficiency patients. 1 in 16,000 adults. Mortality without injection: 6%. Most deaths occur because the patient is alone and too confused to self-inject.
Field Medicine
Tranexamic Acid
Hemorrhage detection via pulse pressure variability. Military and wilderness context. CRASH-2 trial proved TXA reduces bleed-out mortality 15% when given within 3 hours. Time is the variable.

None of these ship before the beachhead validates. They exist here because the architecture is modular by design, not because we're building seven products at once.

Market Opportunity

The intersection is open.

Three markets converge here: wearable drug delivery, crisis intervention, and closed-loop medical devices. Each is large. The intersection has no commercial entrant.

$0
by 2032
Wearable drug delivery market, up from $14.7B in 2024
$0
annual
Annual cost of the U.S. opioid crisis, 2023 (ONDCP)
54,045
deaths / year
Americans who died from opioid overdoses in 2024
$0
by 2034
Global epinephrine market by 2034
Unit Economics

What the business looks like.

Razor-and-blade. The device is the razor — one hardware sale. The cartridge is the blade. The hub is the recurring margin underneath it all.

Razor · Deviceone-time
Hub · Monitoringrecurring
Blade · Cartridgerecurring
Razor $3,000–6,000
Hub $50–95/mo
Blade $75–150/yr
Fully-loaded revenue · per patient · per year $1,675 – $3,290
Razor
$3,000–$6,000 per device, one-time. DME reimbursement pathway, comparable to insulin-pump pricing ($4,000–$8,000). Sold once; it carries the recurring revenue below it.
Hub
$50–$95 per month. 24/7 clinical supervision. RPM billing codes (99453, 99454, 99458) reimburse $50–$120/month today — the recurring spine of the model.
Blade
$75–$150 per year. Drug-cartridge replacement — naloxone, epinephrine, or condition-specific medication. Swap cycle of 30–90 days depending on drug stability.

At 5,000 devices: $8.4M–$16.5M annual recurring revenue before cartridge margin. The hub is where the business compounds — the device is the cost of getting it onto the arm.

Stage of Development

Where we are. Honestly.

This is pre-seed, pre-prototype intellectual property. The value is in the design thesis, the category naming, the beachhead analysis, and the regulatory pathway research.

LLC registered — Kentucky Feb 2024
EIN issued (99-1515832) Done
Domain secured (smartshot.health) Done
Canon documentation complete Done
Brand identity established Done
You are here
Prototype development Next
Clinical data Ahead
FDA engagement Ahead
Funding Ahead

SmartShot is not a product. It is a design thesis backed by a registered entity, a complete documentation canon, and a clear-eyed assessment of what would need to be true. The work done so far is the work that makes the next conversation possible.

Open Questions

What could kill this.

01
Sensor Accuracy
Current wearable biosensors detect opioid-induced respiratory depression at roughly 90% accuracy in supervised injection facilities. That's research-grade. The self-imposed bar for autonomous injection is 99.9% specificity — a target, not a demonstrated result. Nobody has shown it in the field yet.
Mitigation path
Multi-signal fusion (SpO2 + respiratory rate + accelerometer + skin conductance) narrows false-positive rate. UW team achieved 96% with dual-signal. The path to 99.9% is sensor count, not algorithm magic. Tier 2 human confirmation covers the remaining gap.
Falsification: If 4-sensor fusion cannot achieve 99% specificity in a 500-person field trial, autonomous Tier 1 delivery is not viable. The product becomes Tier 2+ only (human-confirmed).
02
Drug Stability
Epinephrine degrades at body temperature (33-36°C). Current storage requires 20-25°C. A body-worn reservoir under repeated thermal cycling is harder than EpiPen stability, and EpiPens already struggle.
Mitigation path
Naloxone (the beachhead drug) is thermally stable to 40°C for 12+ months. Epinephrine stability is a Phase 2 problem. Insulated micro-reservoir with phase-change material maintains 20-25°C range for 72-hour replacement cycles. The cartridge-swap model is designed to sidestep long-term reservoir degradation.
Falsification: If naloxone potency drops below 90% after 30 days at skin temperature in a sealed micro-reservoir, the wearable form factor requires active cooling or daily cartridge replacement, both of which may be commercially unviable.
03
Liability Vacuum
No existing framework covers autonomous emergency medication delivery. Malpractice law assumes a human. Product liability assumes a defined function. SmartShot sits between these. The first manufacturer absorbs the full cost of legal precedent through litigation.
Mitigation path
The Control Hub changes the legal classification. A telemedicine-supervised system with a licensed operator confirming Tier 2+ injections fits existing telehealth liability frameworks. Tier 1 (autonomous) is bounded by the same Good Samaritan protections that cover AEDs. 49 states have AED immunity laws. The analogy is direct: an AED shocks without asking. SmartShot injects without asking — under the same emergency conditions.
Falsification: If no state extends Good Samaritan or AED-equivalent protections to autonomous drug delivery devices within 3 years of FDA clearance, the liability cost per device exceeds the margin. Hub-only (Tier 2+) model survives. Tier 1 does not.
The Canon

Six documents. The whole argument.

Claims sourced. Numbers cited. The whole argument in six documents.

Document 01
The Summary
One-page executive overview of SmartShot: what it is, what it does, who it helps, and what stage it is at.
Four-layer architecture (sensor, decision engine, injection, control hub). Four conditions, four drugs, four regulatory pathways. Pre-seed IP positioned as category creation, not product pitch.
Document 02
The Gap
Three scenarios, five barriers, and the structural argument for why RMD must exist. The core thesis document.
54,045 opioid deaths (39-83% alone). 14 minutes to cardiac arrest in anaphylaxis. 11.5-minute rural EMS median. Five named barriers: regulatory, liability, miniaturization, drug stability, sensor accuracy. RPM-to-RMD progression mirrors CGM-to-closed-loop insulin.
Document 03
The Device
Technical architecture: sensor array, injection mechanism, edge AI, drug stability, form factor engineering.
Every component assessed against three bins: exists today, in development, requires breakthrough. Security threat model assumes motivated adversary. Six-phase R&D roadmap: $80-150M across 7 years to first commercial unit.
Document 04
The Regulation
FDA pathway analysis: Class III PMA, combination product jurisdiction, Breakthrough Device designation strategy.
Each drug is a separate PMA. Seven applicable ISO/IEC standards mapped. Clinical trial design for each indication. Precedent analysis: Medtronic 670G, Zoll LifeVest, Lasix ONYU. Realistic timeline: 9-12 years to first cleared indication.
Document 05
The Market
Market sizing, competitive landscape, reimbursement pathways, pricing model, and go-to-market sequencing.
No CPT code exists for sensor-triggered injection. Three-step pathway to create one. Opioid beachhead: $50B+ settlement funds, SAMHSA distribution networks, naloxone OTC. Unit economics: 63-65% gross margin, break-even at 950-1,900 devices. Apple/Abbott/Medtronic assessed as acquirers, not builders.
Document 06
The Plan
Milestones, funding requirements, team needs, and the five-year roadmap from thesis to FDA submission.
Seven named unknowns. Liability framework untested. UW prototype identified as closest direct competitor. Ethical questions on correctional use, consent withdrawal, algorithmic bias. Cost uncertainty: $50-200M range. "I would rather list every way this can fail than pretend the path is clear."
Contact

If this is interesting, reach out.

Who's behind the thesis

Joe Nalley is Staff Vice President of Carelon Growth (Elevance Health's specialty health-services arm), where he owns six high-acuity clinical risk books — MSK, Oncology, CHF, Maternity, Autoimmune, and Dementia — across $50B+ in specialty medical spend. He built and sold a 13-location integrated health system (200,000+ patients served) and founded and sold ClearBill, a billing-integrity platform that returned $9.2M to payers in its first six months of full deployment. SmartShot is concept IP, not yet a company — the operating record is why the thesis is worth reading.

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joe.nalley@showyourwork.health

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